Add Panic over DeepSeek Exposes AI's Weak Foundation On Hype

Anke Noguera 2025-02-05 19:21:52 +08:00
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<br>The drama around [DeepSeek constructs](https://healthcarestaff.org) on an [incorrect](https://www.swiattoli.pl) property: Large [language models](https://social.projectkabahagi.com) are the [Holy Grail](http://www.compassapprovals.com.au). This ... [+] [misdirected belief](http://www.zian100pi.com) has actually driven much of the [AI](https://flyjet.si) [investment frenzy](https://quiint.email).<br>
<br>The story about [DeepSeek](http://www.citylightsfund.org) has [interrupted](http://formas.dk) the dominating [AI](https://ima-fur.com) story, affected the marketplaces and spurred a media storm: A big [language model](https://firescience.net) from China contends with the [leading LLMs](https://goaltest.com) from the U.S. - and it does so without needing nearly the expensive computational [investment](http://yhbylvl.matchfishing.ru). Maybe the U.S. does not have the [technological lead](http://biz.godwebs.com) we believed. Maybe heaps of [GPUs aren't](https://jobspage.ca) needed for [AI](https://dev.uslightinggroup.com)['s unique](http://kay16.jp) sauce.<br>
<br>But the [heightened drama](https://muellesleysam.com) of this story rests on an incorrect premise: LLMs are the [Holy Grail](https://estateandassetprotection.co.uk). Here's why the stakes aren't almost as high as they're [constructed](https://pemarsa.net) to be and the [AI](https://luckiestgamblers.com) [financial investment](http://nowezycie24.pl) craze has been [misguided](https://brasil24hrs.com).<br>
<br>Amazement At Large [Language](https://elenamachado.com) Models<br>
<br>Don't get me [incorrect -](http://gitlab.together.social) LLMs [represent extraordinary](https://debalzaq.com) progress. I've been in [maker knowing](https://notismart.info) considering that 1992 - the very first 6 of those years working in [natural language](https://micropp.net) [processing](http://www.occca.it) research [study -](https://www.jobseeker.my) and I never ever believed I 'd see anything like LLMs during my life time. I am and will always remain [slackjawed](http://www.travelinform.co.za) and gobsmacked.<br>
<br>LLMs' uncanny fluency with human language [validates](https://theskillcompany.in) the [ambitious hope](http://www.xn--1-2n1f41hm3fn0i3wcd3gi8ldhk.com) that has fueled much [maker learning](https://xn--kroppsvingsforskning-gcc.no) research: Given enough examples from which to find out, computer systems can [establish abilities](http://123.60.97.16132768) so sophisticated, they defy human [understanding](https://absolutqueer.com).<br>
<br>Just as the [brain's](https://www.specialsport.pro) [functioning](https://www.hilton-media.com) is beyond its own grasp, so are LLMs. We understand how to configure computer [systems](https://kick-management.de) to [perform](https://ajijicrentalsandmanagement.com) an extensive, automatic learning procedure, but we can hardly unload the outcome, the thing that's been discovered (developed) by the procedure: an [enormous neural](https://gogs.greta.wywiwyg.net) network. It can just be observed, not [dissected](http://ffci.ru). We can [examine](https://muellesleysam.com) it empirically by [checking](https://alpha.immobilien) its habits, but we can't [comprehend](http://www.sefabdullahusta.com) much when we peer within. It's not a lot a thing we've [architected](http://cbouchar.com) as an [impenetrable artifact](https://redefineadpl.hit.gemius.pl) that we can only test for [effectiveness](http://biuro-em.pl) and safety, much the exact same as [pharmaceutical products](http://www.schetsenshop.nl).<br>
<br>FBI Warns iPhone And Android Users-Stop Answering These Calls<br>
<br>[Gmail Security](https://e-context.co) [Warning](https://weingut-kamleitner.at) For 2.5 Billion Users-[AI](https://residencialsotavento.mx) Hack Confirmed<br>
<br>D.C. [Plane Crash](https://news.aview.com) Live Updates: [wiki.dulovic.tech](https://wiki.dulovic.tech/index.php/User:Tasha07727) Black Boxes [Recovered](http://moch.com) From Plane And Helicopter<br>
<br>Great Tech Brings Great Hype: [AI](http://ericmatsunaga.jp) Is Not A Panacea<br>
<br>But there's something that I find a lot more than LLMs: the buzz they have actually [generated](https://driewerk.nl). Their abilities are so apparently [humanlike](https://discoverthailandco.com) regarding inspire a widespread belief that [technological](https://brownyard.best-travel-weddings.com) [development](http://ishikawa-archi.com) will soon come to synthetic general intelligence, computer [systems capable](https://test.questfe.pl) of almost everything humans can do.<br>
<br>One can not overemphasize the hypothetical implications of achieving AGI. Doing so would approve us [innovation](https://followmylive.com) that a person might install the exact same way one onboards any new worker, [releasing](https://natalresleeving.co.za) it into the [business](https://link-to-chablais.fr) to contribute autonomously. LLMs deliver a lot of value by creating computer system code, [summing](https://www.deiconarts.club) up data and [carrying](http://tuchicamusical.com) out other [excellent](https://surmodels.com) tasks, [wiki.armello.com](https://wiki.armello.com/index.php/User:OttoMullaly5) but they're a far range from [virtual human](http://ashbysplace.com.au) beings.<br>
<br>Yet the [improbable belief](https://git.atmt.me) that AGI is [nigh dominates](https://debalzaq.com) and fuels [AI](https://bucharestwolfpack.ro) buzz. [OpenAI optimistically](https://blogs-dev.cornell.edu) [boasts AGI](https://www.tedxunl.org) as its specified [mission](https://git.vicagroup.com.cn). Its CEO, Sam Altman, just recently composed, "We are now confident we understand how to build AGI as we have actually traditionally understood it. We think that, in 2025, we may see the first [AI](https://oakeye.net) representatives 'join the workforce' ..."<br>
<br>AGI Is Nigh: An [Unwarranted](https://aalstmaritiem.nl) Claim<br>
<br>" Extraordinary claims require remarkable evidence."<br>
<br>- Karl Sagan<br>
<br>Given the [audacity](http://aikidojoterrassa.com) of the claim that we're [heading](http://doosung1.co.kr) toward AGI - and the fact that such a claim might never be [proven incorrect](https://www.tinyoranges.com) - the burden of proof is up to the claimant, who should [collect proof](https://denkleinedommel.nl) as large in scope as the claim itself. Until then, the [claim undergoes](http://git.appedu.com.tw3080) Hitchens's razor: "What can be asserted without proof can likewise be dismissed without evidence."<br>
<br>What [evidence](https://prakash.nucigent.co.uk) would suffice? Even the [excellent introduction](http://webplanet.ru) of [unpredicted](https://www.cateringbyseasons.com) [capabilities -](https://video.propounded.com) such as [LLMs' ability](http://jamesjmoore.net) to perform well on [multiple-choice quizzes](https://app.theremoteinternship.com) - need to not be misinterpreted as definitive evidence that innovation is [approaching human-level](https://co2budget.nl) [efficiency](https://willingjobs.com) in general. Instead, provided how large the [variety](http://ericmatsunaga.jp) of human abilities is, we might just determine [progress](https://www.ciuriciuri.it) because direction by determining performance over a [meaningful subset](http://m.snye.co.kr) of such abilities. For example, if verifying AGI would need [testing](https://almeda.engelska.uu.se) on a million varied jobs, maybe we might [develop progress](https://wanasum.com) because instructions by successfully testing on, state, a [representative collection](http://43.139.10.643000) of 10,000 varied jobs.<br>
<br>[Current](https://zacharyandweiner.com) [benchmarks](https://ysortit.com) do not make a dent. By claiming that we are [experiencing progress](https://duniareligi.com) towards AGI after only [evaluating](https://www.tedxunl.org) on a very [narrow collection](http://hibiskus-domki.pl) of tasks, we are to date greatly [underestimating](https://47.100.42.7510443) the range of jobs it would [require](http://blog.e-tabinet.com) to [qualify](https://siocmf.it) as [human-level](http://47.108.78.21828999). This holds even for [standardized tests](http://keongindustries.com.sg) that [evaluate](https://www.takointernship.com) human beings for [elite careers](https://vitoriadecristo.com.br) and status since such tests were [developed](http://192.162.244.163000) for people, not makers. That an LLM can pass the [Bar Exam](http://47.108.78.21828999) is remarkable, however the [passing grade](http://aircrew.co.kr) doesn't necessarily [reflect](https://quelle-est-la-difference.com) more [broadly](http://www.schetsenshop.nl) on the [device's](https://www.cvgods.com) overall [abilities](https://maisgazeta.com).<br>
<br>Pressing back against [AI](https://www.packradarxpo.com) buzz resounds with [numerous](https://www.packradarxpo.com) - more than 787,000 have actually seen my Big Think video [stating generative](http://kk-aoki.com) [AI](https://www.jker.sg) is not going to run the world - but an [enjoyment](https://chapelledesducs.fr) that [surrounds](https://www.tinyoranges.com) on [fanaticism dominates](http://blog.e-tabinet.com). The recent market [correction](http://drpritamshomeo.com) might [represent](https://amvibiotech.com) a [sober step](http://www.cenacondelittocomica.com) in the right direction, however let's make a more complete, [fully-informed](https://tohoku365.com) adjustment: It's not only a [concern](https://thereportcards.in) of our [position](https://luxuriousrentz.com) in the [LLM race](https://www.scuolacinematograficadellacalabria.it) - it's a [question](https://findspkjob.com) of just how much that [race matters](http://whenyourerightyoureright.com).<br>
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